Global security is under threat. The system of international rules that has kept our citizens safe and our societies prosperous since the end of the Second… Mai mult›
Q2 / Average monthly income per capita in Romania has risen to nearly RON 1,600: Changes in redistribution of family budget
Data published by INS for the second quarter of 2018 show that Romanians’ monthly incomes have reached nearly RON 1,600 per person. They were RON… Mai mult›
According to the data released by Eurostat, Romania’s current account deficit exceeded, in the second quarter of the year, the threshold of five percentage points… Mai mult›
Strategic chemical industry: Romania, on top in import increase and ranking last in EU in terms of increase in exports outside single market
Data published by Eurostat show that Romania recorded the second highest annual growth rate in imports of non-EU chemicals from 2007 to 2017 (13.1% per… Mai mult›
Rising incomes have fuelled consumption and, implicitly, the economic growth in recent years, but not the savings. Although a large proportion of the population… Mai mult›
de Adrian N Ionescu , 27.12.2017
The proportion of entrepreneurs who want to reduce the debt rate of their companies has risen both for loans in lei, to 62% of the total (from 59% in the spring) and in euro, to 66% (65%).
The corporate reaction comes in the context of an already low rate of financing by loans, despite the increase in the volume of loans in recent times, and of an appetite of companies for loans that did not increase during the period when interest rates were low.
“Most of the companies surveyed consider they do not need financing from banks or other non-banking financial institutions (63%, similar to the previous survey),” says BNR’s summary of the survey results.
The BNR survey included September when the average rates (ROBOR) of the interbank interest exploded. In the meantime, ROBOR rates have declined considerably only for the immediate maturities, in the last two weeks: from 2.16% to 1.27% for one day, but appear to have been capped temporarily, at high levels for maturities longer than one month.
- Evolution of average interest rates (ROBOR) over the last three years
3 and 6-month ROBOR, based on which the debt burden is calculated for most of the loans, has corrected only to 2.11% and 2.31%, respectively, compared to the maximum levels of 2.22% and 2.35 % on December 5.
Banks are to recalibrate their lending strategies as of January when the effect of the increase in the interest rates will be fully seen in the market.
Resistance to interest rate increase
Entrepreneurs believe that their firms could no longer withstand an increase in the interest rates by more than 3 percentage points.
“The capacity of companies to cope with unfavourable developments in interest rates is low and an increase of up to 3 percentage points in the interest rate on both RON and EUR loans would significantly affect the company’s activity and/or the capacity to repay the loan in the case of over half of the respondent companies,” says the summary of the BNR survey.
- Average interest rate for loans in lei, for the non-financial companies that have loans in lei, September 2017
- Non-financial companies’ perception of the impact of possible future changes in the interest rates for loans in lei, in September 2017
- An increase of up to 1 percentage point would affect you An increase by 1-3 percentage point would affect you An increase by 3-5 percentage point would affect you No increase in the interest rate for loans in lei would affect you The existing level of the interest rate already affects you The increase in the interest rate does not affect you but the decrease
More precisely, for 37% of the firms that declared they need financing, 2% is the maximum interest rate at which they would be willing to borrow lei, while 29% of them would accept a loan in lei at an interest rate of maximum 4%.
Only 12% of companies would accept a loan with an interest rate between 2 percent and 4 percent.
The average interest rate for loans in RON stood at 3.9% in September 2017.
The maximum acceptable interest rate for loans in euro is 1.5% for 41% of the firms that need financing, while another 21% would accept a maximum interest rate of 1.5% to 3%.
Only 9% of companies claim to be willing to contract a loan with a maximum interest rate between 1.5% and 3%. The average interest rate for loans in euro was 2.4% in September 2017.
In September 2017, loans in lei contracted by 40% of the companies had an average interest rate of 3 – 5%. Companies that have accessed euro-denominated loans are mostly financed at an interest rate between 2% and 4%.
Biggest problem: taxation unpredictability
However, entrepreneurs’ low appetite for lending does not make the surge in interest rates change the hierarchy of the most pressing problems faced by firms. Similar to the previous period remain the following: high level of taxation, the unpredictability of the tax environment and competition.
“The access to financing ranks second to last by the magnitude at which the firms see it as a pressing issue.
- The most pressing issues for SMEs and corporations, between April- September 2017
- Taxation level Unpredictability of the tax environment Competition Lack of demand Costs (production, etc.) Availability of skilled workforce Regulations Payment discipline in the economy Access to financing Insolvency proceedings
- Note: Question is based on a scoring scale (from 1- very pressing issue to 5 – lesser pressing issue), where only the “pressing” attribute has been considered (scores 1 and 2).
“As compared to the previous survey (March 2017), notable changes are in terms of the increase in production costs and the availability of skilled workforce and the decline in the lack of demand”, says the summary of the BNR survey.
Only 14% of the companies have estimated that the access to financing is an issue with a high impact on the firm’s activity (a marginal increase compared to the previous semester when this aspect was mentioned by 13% of companies).“Firms with bad loans feel the problems more acutely than firms with performing loans. A significant gap is noted in the access to financing topic (40% vs. 14%) and the own insolvency or trading partners’ insolvency (32% versus 13%).
The sample used in the survey comprises about 11,000 non-financial companies, is representative at national and regional level and the selection of surveyed companies is made by specific statistical procedures in compliance with criteria regarding (i) company size category (micro-enterprises, small enterprises, mid-sized enterprises and corporations); (ii) field of activity (according to CAEN Rev. 2) and (iii) development regions, according to BNR.
Lăsați un comentariu
Only Cluj-Napoca is among the 22 European cities that will receive financing from the European Regional Development Fund (FEDR) for innovative solutions in addressing urban… Mai mult›
Prime Minister Dancila dismissed 13 of 15 civil society representatives from Economic and Social Council. They were blocking legislation that did not gathered all opinions
Prime Minister Viorica Dancila has replaced 13 of the 15 civil society representatives in the Economic and Social Council (CES). Following a decision published on… Mai mult›
West Quadrilateral / Four counties joined to directly access European money for major infrastructure projects
From right to left: Gheorghe Falca, Nicolae Robu, Ilie Bolojan. Emil Boc, Mayor of Cluj Napoca, misses Four mayors from the West of the country… Mai mult›
Chamber of Deputies / PSD loses UDMR’s support for amending Offshore Law, draft returns to committees for a week
The plenum of the Chamber of Deputies decided on Wednesday to resend the Offshore Law to committees after a seemingly surprising request of UDMR leader… Mai mult›
The Government adopted on Thursday the draft Emergency Ordinance for amending and supplementing legislation in the field of insolvency, which provides among other things for… Mai mult›
Unlike the vast majority of the economic areas, in which we are at the bottom of the European ranking, Romania succeeded to rank 7th by… Mai mult›
There are clear signs that the lobbying action launched by the ruling coalition in Brussels in favour of the government in Bucharest will end with… Mai mult›
MFP: Romania does not endorse a separate budget for Eurozone and rejects the idea of taxing financial transactions
Romania does not endorse a separate budget for Eurozone and rejects the idea of taxing financial transactions, Minister of Public Finance Eugen Teodorovici said after… Mai mult›
Finance Ministry wants to change rules for insolvency: state could also register claims after procedure is launched
Companies’ possibility to avoid paying creditors (and in particular the payment of tax receivables) simply by declaring their insolvency would be drastically limited, according to… Mai mult›
Prime Minister Viorica Dancila, European Commissioner Phil Hogan and Agriculture Minister Petre Daea The swine fever epidemics in Romania has an impact on neighbouring countries,… Mai mult›
Infrastructure projects lost EUR 41.5 million following budget amendment. In what projects cuts have been made
Despite the assurances that Dancila government is concerned and intensely working on the road infrastructure projects, at the budget amendment the Transport Ministry has cut… Mai mult›
Leaders of the political groups in the European Parliament have decided to adopt in October a resolution on the rule of law in Romania. The… Mai mult›
"Romania's buffers have deteriorated, the country is less prepared for a negative shock" - IMF will reduce economic growth estimate
Romania will be less prepared if the economy is hit by a negative shock, as the structural deficit has been deteriorated - IMF representative for… Mai mult›
Premiere: CSAT asks Finance Ministry to amend amendment - session suspended until Government comes with a draft that does not affect budgets of secret services
President Klaus Iohannis suspended on Tuesday the CSAT meeting for discussing the budget amendment, as there was no consensus on the budgets of institutions from… Mai mult›